Low pressure is expected to emerge over the Gulf of Mexico this week and it may move into a favorable environment for tropical cyclone development.

Meanwhile, the latest outlook from Colorado State University still points to an above-average hurricane season, but with a slightly less aggressive forecast than earlier projections. The updated forecast has reduced the expected numbers of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes by one in each category.

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Forecasters are warning of early signs of a potential tropical cyclone developing along the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. A low-pressure system that could bring storms to Florida before moving west has a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next several days, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

A trough of low pressure located offshore the Atlantic Coast of northern Florida could bring heavy rains to the Gulf Coast region and Southeast Louisiana later this week as it moves westward, according to the National Hurricane Center.

National Hurricane Center is tracking a disturbance expected to bring heavy rain and thunderstorms to the Treasure Coast this week.

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which is expected to be more active than usual, has so far produced three named storms. The latest, Tropical Storm Chantal, impacted the Carolinas and the mid-Atlantic states of Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

A disorganized low-pressure area off Florida is showing increasing chances of becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm this week.